CONVECTIVE FORECAST
VALID Thu 22 Dec 06:00 - Fri 23 Dec 06:00 2005 (UTC)
ISSUED: 22 Dec 22:08 (UTC)
FORECASTER: TUSCHY

Thunderstorms are forecast across western Norway

SYNOPSIS

Stable and cool airmass remains over most parts of Europe, which will limit convection development…Ridging present over most parts of central Europe and this, combined with a major upper level trough over eastern Europe will help for stable conditions. Main concern for isolated TSTM development will be along the coastal areas of SW Norway...Strong depression will move onshore during the afternoon hours…Some forcing and low-end instability values will be present… LL shear slightly enhanced and I do not want to exclude a waterspout report but otherwise conditions do not look favorable for a more organized TSTM threat.

DISCUSSION

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